[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 28 March 05

Tue Mar 29 09:55:18 EST 2005

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 28/2330Z MARCH 2005 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 28 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 29 MARCH - 31 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 28 Mar:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 28 Mar:  80/20

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             29 Mar             30 Mar             31 Mar
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              80/20

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 28 Mar: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 28 Mar :  A   K           
   Australian Region       4   2211 1111
      Learmonth            5   2221 1222
      Culgoora             2   1210 0011
      Canberra             2   1210 0111
      Hobart               3   1210 1110
      Casey(Ant)          10   34-2 1121

Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 28 Mar : 
      Townsville          NA
      Learmonth           NA
      Culgoora            NA
      Canberra            NA
      Hobart              17   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 28 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 27 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             13   2143 3332     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
29 Mar     3    Quiet 
30 Mar     4    Quiet 
31 Mar     3    Quiet 
COMMENT: Quiet conditions are expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
28 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
29 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
30 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
31 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
28 Mar    32

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Enhanced by 20% during local day,
     No data available during local night.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Depressed by 20% during local night.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for March:  31

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
29 Mar    30    Near predicted monthly values 
30 Mar    30    Near predicted monthly values 
31 Mar    30    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 27 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   9.8E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.3E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.20E+08 (moderate fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:12%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A3.3

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 27 Mar
Speed: 627 km/sec  Density:    2.9 p/cc  Temp:   184000 K  Bz:   4 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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