[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 06 June 02
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Jun 7 09:02:51 EST 2002
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/2330Z JUNE 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 06 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 07 JUNE - 09 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN MAG:GREEN ION: GREEN
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/current
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 06 Jun: Low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 06 Jun: 155/109
http://www.ips.gov.au/learmonth/solar http://www.ips.gov.au/culgoora
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
07 Jun 08 Jun 09 Jun
Activity Low Low Low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
10.7cm/SSN 150/105 150/105 155/109
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_geomag
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 06 Jun: Quiet to Unsettled
Estimated Indices 06 Jun : A K
Australian Region 7 2-32 1211
Darwin 9 --42 1212
Townsville 5 2-22 0212
Learmonth 7 3--- 1210
Canberra 6 2-32 0211
Hobart 4 2-21 0211
Casey(Ant) 5 1-21 1221
Davis(Ant) 7 1--2 2131
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 06 JUN :
Darwin 24 (Quiet to unsettled)
Townsville 14 (Quiet)
Learmonth NA
Canberra 24 (Quiet to unsettled)
Hobart 15 (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jun : A
Fredericksburg 5
Planetary 8
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jun : A K
Fredericksburg 5
Planetary 10 3222 3322
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
07 Jun 12 Unsettled
08 Jun 15 Unsettled to Active
09 Jun 10 Quiet to Unsettled
COMMENT: Magnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on
7 and 8 June.
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
06 Jun Normal Normal Normal-fair
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
07 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
08 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
09 Jun Normal Normal Normal-Fair
COMMENT:
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_hf
Date T index
06 Jun 128
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Equatorial PNG Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day,
Enhanced by 20% during local night.
Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
Northern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day,
Depressed by 15% during local night.
Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
Near predicted monthly values.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
Enhanced by 55% over the UT day.
Predicted Monthly T index for June: 107
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
07 Jun 130 5 to 10% above predicted monthly values
08 Jun 135 10 to 20% above predicted monthly values
09 Jun 120 5 to 10% above predicted monthly values
COMMENT:
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY
GOES satellite data for 05 Jun
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.4E+05
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.2E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.30E+07 (normal)
X-ray background: B4.4
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 05 Jun
Speed: 418 km/sec Density: 2.9 p/cc Temp: 81900 K Bz: 0 nT
http://sec.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html
(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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