[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 April 02
rwc
rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Apr 9 09:19:04 EST 2002
SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z APRIL 2002 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 APRIL AND FORECAST FOR 09 APRIL - 11 APRIL
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW ** MAG:GREEN ION: GREEN
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/current
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Apr: Low
Flares: none.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Apr: 206/157
http://www.ips.gov.au/learmonth/solar http://www.ips.gov.au/culgoora
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
09 Apr 10 Apr 11 Apr
Activity Moderate Low to moderate Low to moderate
Fadeouts Possible Possible Possible
10.7cm/SSN 200/152 195/147 185/138
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_geomag
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Apr: Quiet
Estimated Indices 08 Apr : A K
Australian Region 2 1121 0001
Townsville 1 0011 0011
Learmonth 0 1010 0002
Canberra 0 0010 0002
Hobart 0 0010 0001
Casey(Ant) 3 1222 0000
Davis(Ant) 5 2232 0000
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 APR :
Darwin NA
Townsville 0 (Quiet)
Learmonth 0 (Quiet)
Canberra 0 (Quiet)
Hobart 0 (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.
Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Apr : A
Fredericksburg 3
Planetary 5
Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Apr : A K
Fredericksburg 8
Planetary 7 2122 3322
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
Date Ap Conditions
09 Apr 6 Quiet
10 Apr 6 Quiet
11 Apr 6 Quiet
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
08 Apr Normal Normal Normal
PCA Event : No event.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
Latitude Band
Date Low Middle High
09 Apr Normal Normal Normal
10 Apr Normal Normal Normal
11 Apr Normal Normal Normal
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc/aus_hf
Date T index
08 Apr 151
Observed Australian Regional MUFs
Near predicted monthly values to enhanced at all stations.
Predicted Monthly T index for April: 113
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date T index MUFs
09 Apr 150 10 to 20% above predicted monthly values
10 Apr 150 10 to 20% above predicted monthly values
11 Apr 150 10 to 20% above predicted monthly values
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY
GOES satellite data for 07 Apr
Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV: 1.9E+05
Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV: 1.2E+04
Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.70E+07 (normal)
X-ray background: C1.5
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Apr
Speed: 427 km/sec Density: 3.0 p/cc Temp: 198000 K Bz: 2 nT
http://sec.noaa.gov/ace/MAG_SWEPAM_24h.html
(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386 | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 | fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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