[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 30 May 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 30/2330Z MAY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 30 MAY AND FORECAST FOR 31 MAY - 02 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 30 May:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 30 May: 132/86

GOES satellite data for 29 May
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.5E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  9.8E+03
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.20E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.5
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             31 May             01 Jun             02 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   130/84             130/84             130/84




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 30 May: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 30 May :  A   K           
   Australian Region       1   1100 1011
      Darwin               2   --11 1011
      Townsville           0   0000 0011
      Learmonth            5   22-- 2111
      Canberra             0   0000 0010
      Hobart               0   0000 0001
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 30 MAY : 
      Darwin               8   (Quiet)
      Townsville          60   (Unsettled)
      Learmonth           NA
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 30 May : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 29 May :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         9
           Planetary             10   4221 3322     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
31 May     6    Quiet 
01 Jun     6    Quiet 
02 Jun     6    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
30 May      Normal         Normal-fair    Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
31 May      Normal         Normal         Normal
01 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
02 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
30 May   118

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced by 30% over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for May: 117

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
31 May   120    Near predicted monthly values 
01 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 
02 Jun   120    Near predicted monthly values 


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