[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 13 March 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 13/2330Z MARCH 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 13 MARCH AND FORECAST FOR 14 MARCH - 16 MARCH
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 13 Mar:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 13 Mar: 147/101

GOES satellite data for 12 Mar
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.2E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.2E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.20E+06 (normal)
       X-ray background: B6.1
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             14 Mar             15 Mar             16 Mar
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   145/99             145/99             145/99
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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 13 Mar: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 13 Mar :  A   K           
   Australian Region        7   2223 2112
      Darwin                5   2212 2122
      Townsville            6   2213 2112
      Learmonth            11   4223 2223
      Canberra              6   2223 1112
      Hobart                6   2223 1112
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 13 MAR : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville            0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra              0   (Quiet)
      Hobart                2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 13 Mar : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 12 Mar :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             10   1023 3333     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
14 Mar     9    Quiet to Unsettled 
15 Mar     8    Quiet to Unsettled 
16 Mar     7    Quiet 
COMMENT: 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
13 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
14 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
15 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
16 Mar      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: HF conditions should be mostly normal over the next 
few days. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
13 Mar   142

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 40% at Darwin during local night,
      Mostly near predicted monthly values elsewhere.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for March: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
14 Mar   145    Near predicted monthly values 
15 Mar   145    Near predicted monthly values 
16 Mar   145    Near predicted monthly values 
COMMENT: HF conditions should be mostly normal over the next 
following days. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
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