[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 03 July 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 03/2330Z JULY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 03 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 04 JULY - 06 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 03 Jul:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 03 Jul: 132/86

GOES satellite data for 02 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   3.1E+04
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.1E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 4.50E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: B3.4
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             04 Jul             05 Jul             06 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   130/84             135/89             140/94




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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 03 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 03 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   1212 2221
      Darwin               5   1212 2122
      Townsville           4   1301 1111
      Learmonth           NA
      Canberra             6   1112 3221
      Hobart               6   0112 3221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 03 JUL : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              15   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 03 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             10                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 02 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         4
           Planetary              8   3212 2332     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
04 Jul    12    Quiet to unsettled, with the chance of active 
                periods. 
05 Jul    10    Quiet to unsettled 
06 Jul     8    Quiet to unsettled 
COMMENT: Solar wind speeds from a coronal hole have been lower 
than expected resulting in little affect on the geomagnetic field. 
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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Jul      Normal-fair    Normal         Normal-fair    
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
04 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
05 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
06 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
03 Jul   121

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Enhanced up to 30% at times.


Predicted Monthly T index for July: 115

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
04 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 
06 Jul   125    Near predicted monthly values 


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