[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 January 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JANUARY 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JANUARY AND FORECAST FOR 09 JANUARY - 11 JANUARY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jan:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jan: 167/121

GOES satellite data for 07 Jan
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   5.0E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.70E+05 (normal)
       X-ray background: C1.0
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jan             10 Jan             11 Jan
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN   170/124            175/129            180/133


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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jan: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 08 Jan :  A   K           
   Australian Region        6   2211 1233
      Darwin                6   2211 1233
      Townsville            6   2211 1234
      Learmonth             8   3212 1233
      Canberra              9   2321 1242
      Hobart                8   2322 1232
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 JAN : 
      Darwin                0   (Quiet)
      Townsville            0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra              0   (Quiet)
      Hobart                6   (Quiet)

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jan : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              7                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jan :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         6
           Planetary              5   2211 1222     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jan    13    Unsettled 
10 Jan     4    Quiet to unsettled 
11 Jan     3    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jan      Normal         Normal         Fair           
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
10 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jan      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
08 Jan   131

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
      Spread F observed.


Predicted Monthly T index for January: 117

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jan   140    Near predicted monthly values 


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