[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 02 February 26 issued 2330 UT on 02 Feb 2026 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 FEBRUARY 2026
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Feb   121    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  X8.1 01/2357UT  probable   all    West Pacific
  X2.8    0036UT  probable   all    West Pacific
  M1.4    0654UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  X1.6    0814UT  probable   all    Mid East/Indian
  M6.7    1124UT  probable   lower  European
  M1.1    1339UT  possible   lower  European
  M4.0    1501UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M2.9    2005UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      96
Feb      88
Mar      87


2. FORECAST (03 FEBRUARY - 05 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Feb   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
04 Feb   120    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
05 Feb   100    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 17 was issued on 
2 February and is current for 2-4 Feb. Maximum Usable Frequencies 
(MUFs) in the Australian region were near predicted monthly values 
to 15-25% enhanced during the day on UT day 02-Feb. MUFs are 
expected to be near predicted monthly values to enhanced by 15% 
over 03-05 Feb. Shortwave fadeouts are expected.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au