[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 02 September 24 issued 2330 UT on 02 Sep 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 SEPTEMBER 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 SEPTEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Sep   159    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.5 01/2249UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.9    0526UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.8    1328UT  possible   lower  European
  M2.9    1343UT  possible   lower  European
  M1.4    2011UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M1.5    2301UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 60% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
      Enhanced by 25% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Aug      159
Sep      117
Oct      116


2. FORECAST (03 SEPTEMBER - 05 SEPTEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Sep   160    Normal           15 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values
04 Sep   160    Normal           15 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values    
05 Sep   160    Normal           15 to 25% above predicted monthly 
                                 values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) in the Australian 
region on UT day 02-Sep were near predicted monthly values to 
25% enhanced. Spread F was observed at Canberra and Hobart during 
local night hours. Ionospheric scintillation was observed at 
Darwin and Niue over the interval 02/0720-1401UT. MUFs are expected 
to be 15-25% enhanced over 03-05 Sep. Shortwave fadeouts are 
probable.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au