[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 10 June 24 issued 2330 UT on 10 Jun 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 JUNE 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 JUNE) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 Jun   125    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M3.3    0609UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.2    1007UT  possible   lower  European
  M5.3    1058UT  possible   lower  European
  X1.5    1108UT  probable   all    European
  M1.3    1329UT  possible   lower  European
  M9.5    1840UT  probable   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 45% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0250UT 08/06, Ended at 1930UT 09/06

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
May      121
Jun      116
Jul      117


2. FORECAST (11 JUNE - 13 JUNE)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 Jun   115    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
12 Jun   121    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
13 Jun   121    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: ASWFC Preliminary HF Communications Warning 63 was issued 
on 8 June and is current for 10-12 Jun. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 10-Jun were near predicted values in the Australian 
region. Sporadic E and Spread F were observed in Hobart during 
local night hours. MUFs are expected to be near monthly values 
over 11-13 Jun. Shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au