[Ips-wsgr] IPS Weekly Solar and Geophysical Report (07 December 01)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 07 DECEMBER 2001, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 NOVEMBER - 06 DECEMBER)
Date     30    01    02    03    04    05    06
10cm    226   221   245   235   233   237   247
AFr       2     6     6     6     6     7 (  8)
Aaus      3    12     7    15    14    12 ( 13)
T       180   188   183   188   147   133   138

Solar:        Solar flare activity
Geomagnetic:  Geomagnetic activity observed for Australian Region.
Frequencies:  Australian Ionospheric F2 critical frequencies

30 Nov 
Solar:        moderate, with an M3/1N at 0106UT, an M1 at 1418UT, and an M2 at
2001UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
Normal to enhanced at all stations.

01 Dec 
Solar:        high, with an M2/2N at 0651UT, an M1/SF at 1445UT, an M4 at
1555UT, an M2/SF at 1656UT, an M1/1F at 1731UT, and an M1/SF at 1749UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
Normal to enhanced at all stations.

02 Dec 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1 at 1500UT, and an M2 at 2206UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet 

Frequencies:  
Normal to enhanced at all stations.

03 Dec 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
Normal to enhanced at all stations.

04 Dec 
Solar:        moderate, with an M1 at 0546UT
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 15%.
   Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to enhanced 15%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
   Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15%. 

05 Dec 
Solar:        very low
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Active 

Frequencies:  
near predicted monthly values

06 Dec 
Solar:        moderate, with an  M1/2F at 0826UT 
Geomagnetic:  Quiet to Unsettled 

Frequencies:  
   Equatorial PNG Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 15% during local night.
     Enhanced by 15% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 25% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
     Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.
 
2. FORECAST (07 DECEMBER - 13 DECEMBER)
Solar: Low to moderate

Geomagnetic:  Mostly Quiet with Unsettled to Active intervals possible.

Frequencies:  Near predicted monthly values. SWFs possible early in week.

PEASE NOTE: 
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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