[Ips-whfpr] IPS Weekly Prop. Report (05 February 03)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/0200Z FEBRUARY 2003 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (29 JANUARY - 04 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index   Conditions        
29 Jan  125      Normal            
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15%.


30 Jan   97      Normal-fair       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 15-30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 15-30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15-30% at
      times.


31 Jan   69      Fair-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed
      5-15% at times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.


01 Feb   79      Normal-poor       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 25% during local day,
      Enhanced by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 15% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
      Depressed by 30% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed
      15-30% at times.


02 Feb   36      Normal-poor       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted to depressed 15% during local day,
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 40% during local day,
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed
      15-30% at times.


03 Feb   34      Poor-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15-30%
      at times.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly depressed by 15-30%.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly depressed by 15-30% and greater at times.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15-30%.


04 Feb   58      Poor-normal       
MUFS:
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to depressed 15-30%.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed 15-30% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly depressed 15-30%.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Depressed 15-30% to near predicted monthly values.


Predicted Monthly T index for February:  88
2. FORECAST (05 FEBRUARY - 11 FEBRUARY) 
MUFS: Depressed 10-20% at times on 05-Feb, depressed 5-15% at times on 06-Feb,
      otherwise MUFs near normal. SWFs possible early in week.
Propagation conditions: Normal-fair 5-6 Feb, otherwise normal.
T index:  100
COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 8 was issued on 4 February and is
         current for interval 5 February only. 
3. OUTLOOK (12 FEBRUARY - 14 MARCH)
Degraded HF propagation conditions possible: 20 Feb - 4 March.

PLEASE NOTE:
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not
able to be forecasted a week in advance.

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
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