[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (08 January 04)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 08 JANUARY 2004, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 DECEMBER - 07 JANUARY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 30 Dec   1211 1133    6     
 31 Dec   2233 3433   14     
 01 Jan   3343 4333   18    
 02 Jan   3222 2333   11    
 03 Jan   3344 3233   17    
 04 Jan   3233 5433   19    
 05 Jan   3333 4334   18    
 06 Jan   3343 2234   16    
 07 Jan   3355 4333   24    

*estimated from real time data

Disturbed conditions observed from 31 Dec due to
coronal hole wind stream. Effects of this wind stream
expected to continue till 11 Jan, with declining trend. 
In addition a weak mass ejection induced activity on 07 Jan. 
Two solar regions presently on the solar disk are mass 
ejection capable.

2. FORECAST (08 JANUARY - 07 FEBRUARY)
Disturbed Periods: 
     08-11 Jan: Active, with isolated minor storm periods.
     16-17 Jan: Unsettled to Active
 27 Jan-07 Feb: Active, isoalted minor storm periods 

Note: Further mass ejections possible over coming week.


Best Quiet Periods: 
19-25 Jan


PLEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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