[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (16 October 03)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 16 OCTOBER 2003, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (07 OCTOBER - 15 OCTOBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 07 Oct   3234 3323   14     
 08 Oct   2211 1122    5     
 09 Oct   3211 1102    5    
 10 Oct   1010 1012    2    
 11 Oct   1000 0001    0    
 12 Oct   1111 1212    4    
 13 Oct   2222 3333   11    
 14 Oct   2343 5455   29    
 15 Oct   3455 4333   26    

*estimated from real time data

Disturbed conditions observed late in week due to
coronal hole high speed wind stream. The hole that
is producing the high speed wind stream has a broad
longitudinal extent and elevated wind speeds (with a
declining trend) are expected to persist to 19 Oct.

2. FORECAST (16 OCTOBER - 15 NOVEMBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
16-19 Oct active, with minor storm periods
21-22 Oct active periods

Best Quiet Periods: 
25 Oct to 02 Nov


PLEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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