[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (19 September 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 19 SEPTEMBER 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (10 SEPTEMBER - 18 SEPTEMBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 10 Sep   3123 4543   19    A weak (16nT) impulse was 
 observed in the IPS magnetomter data at 1537UT on 10 Sep. 
 11 Sep   2335 2433   18     
 12 Sep   3322 3223   11    
 13 Sep   2223 1122    7    
 14 Sep   2223 2122    7    
 15 Sep   3221 1222    7    
 16 Sep   2122 3112    6    
 17 Sep   1323 3223   10    
 18 Sep   4333 3223   14    

*estimated from real time data

There is a slight possibility for the geomagnetic
activity to rise to Active to Minor Storm level on
19 September due to the possible glancing effect of
a partial halo CME observed on 17 September. 

2. FORECAST (19 SEPTEMBER - 19 OCTOBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
19 Sept, 2 Oct, 4-5 Oct, 7-10 Oct, 14-15 Oct.
Best Quiet Periods: 
21 Sept - 1 Oct, 3 Oct, 6 Oct, 11-13 Oct. 

PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060