[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (17 October 02)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 17 OCTOBER 2002, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (08 OCTOBER - 16 OCTOBER)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 08 Oct   3433 4323   17    A weak (18nT) impulse was observed in the IPS
                            magnetomter data at 1405UT on 08 Oct. 
 09 Oct   2233 3332   12     
 10 Oct   1343 3212   11    
 11 Oct   2322 2312    8    
 12 Oct   1112 2202    4    
 13 Oct   2111 2112    4    
 14 Oct   2233 4333   14    
 15 Oct   4434 3333   19    
 16 Oct   3222 2343   12    

*estimated from real time data

A sustained period of southward IMF Bz and low solar wind speeds ended 
in the second half of UT day Oct 14. Since that time magnetic conditions 
have been unsettled with isolated active periods, especially at high 
latitudes. Disturbances have been caused by significant short-term 
fluctuations in IMF polarity acompanied by steadily increasing solar wind 
speeds. 

2. FORECAST (17 OCTOBER - 16 NOVEMBER)
Disturbed Periods: 
27 Oct - 6 Nov

Best Quiet Periods: 
20-22 Oct 


PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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