[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (15 February 01)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 15 FEBRUARY 2001, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (06 FEBRUARY - 14 FEBRUARY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 06 Feb   3343 2333   15        
 07 Feb   3221 1123    7       
 08 Feb   2222 0223    7      
 09 Feb   2222 2113    7     
 10 Feb   2122 1112    5    
 11 Feb   2222 1012    5           
 12 Feb   2211 2223    7           
 13 Feb   3433 3343   18
 14 Feb   2223 4333   13

*estimated from real time data

Activity observed on the 13 and 14 Feb may possibly related
to a CME which occured on the 11 Feb.

2. FORECAST (15 FEBRUARY - 15 MARCH)
Disturbed Periods:
Recurrent patterns are weak and fragmented. No significant disturbances
are expected. Mild activity may be expected during the following periods:
17 Feb - 26 Feb
11 Mar - 15 Mar

Best Quiet Periods: 
28 Feb -  4 Mar
 6 Mar - 11 Mar

PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060