[Ips-wgr] IPS Weekly Geo. Report (08 February 01)

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS WEEKLY GEOPHYSICAL REPORT 
ISSUED ON 08 FEBRUARY 2001, BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES,
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE

1. SUMMARY (30 JANUARY - 07 FEBRUARY)
K indices are in UT (0-24). For conversion to local time:
AEST = UT + 10 hours; ACST = UT + 9.5 hours; AWST = UT + 8 hours
        Australian Region*              
 Date     K-INDICES    A               
 30 Jan   2211 0013    4        
 31 Jan   1154 4443   22       
 01 Feb   2222 2114    8      
 02 Feb   2111 0113    4     
 03 Feb   1011 0002    2    
 04 Feb   1111 0012    2           
 05 Feb   1111 1113    4           
 06 Feb   3343 2333   15
 07 Feb   3221 1123    7

*estimated from real time data

Activity on 31 Jan was followed a shock observed at 0721UT in the
solar wind, and a subsequent impulse in the geomagnetic field of 40-60nT
at 0804UT. Shock was from M1 flare/CME event on 28 Jan. Quiet to
unsettled on other days.

Mild activity on 06 Feb probably due to coronal hole.

2. FORECAST (08 FEBRUARY - 08 MARCH)
Disturbed Periods: 
Recurrent patterns are weak and fragmented. No significant disturbances
are expected. Mild activity may be experienced on:
17-18 Feb
27-28 Feb

Best Quiet Periods: 
07-15 Feb
20-22 Feb
01 Feb to 04 Mar.

PEASE NOTE:  
At this time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions 
are frequently determined by short timescale events, not 
able to be forecasted a week in advance. 

IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au/asfc
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA     | FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au/users/asfc/ 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010              | fax: +61 2 9213 8060