[ips-sf] ASWFC Summary Forecast for 05 July - issued 2326UT/04-Jul-2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

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Solar activity on UT day 05-Jul is expected to be at R1, with the
chance of an isolated R2 level flare, as a large solar region leaves
the solar disk. The solar wind speed is expected to be light during
05-06 Jul. A solar wind shock may arrive on 07-Jul due to a recent
predominately southward CME. G0 geomagnetic conditions are expected
for 05-06 Jul. G1 conditions, with the chance of isolated G2 periods
may be experienced on 07-Jul. Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) are
expected to be near predicted monthly values for 05-06 Jul. HF
communication conditions are expected to be mostly normal on 05-06
Jul. Isolated minor shortwave fadeouts are possible. Mild to
moderately degraded HF conditions may be experienced on 07-08 July for
southern Australian region if geomagnetic activity eventuates on
07-Jul.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au