[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 13 February - issued 0003UT/13-Feb-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Feb 13 11:03:13 EST 2016

Solar activity on the UT day 12 Feb was at moderate levels with one
M-class and three flares C-class flares. The strongest M1.0 flare
occurred at 12/1047 UT from near solar centre (Region 2497), however
it did not trigger a coronal mass ejection (CME). The halo CME
associated with C8.9 flare that occurred on 21:03 UT on February 11
near the solar centre between Regions 2496 and 2497 will most probably
arrive at the Earth early on UT day February 15. A minor to moderate
geomagnetic storm are expected on UT day Feb 15. Auroral sight could
be possible on the local night of 15 Feb from southern regions of
Australia, including Tasmania and maybe Victoria.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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