[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 07 February - issued 2346UT/06-Feb-2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Feb 7 10:46:15 EST 2016

Solar activity remained at low levels on 6 February and is expected to
remain at nearly similar levels with the possibility of isolated
M-class flaring from 07 to 09 February. Solar wind speed remained
elevated mostly between 460 to 480 km/s over the day, but is expected
to decline over the next 24 hours. The effect of a coronal hole may
start to strengthen the solar wind stream from 8 February. A faint
CME, that was observed in the LASCO images at 05/1936 UT, may have an
earthward component. It has been estimated to arrive early on 9
February. Further analysis is required for more details. Geomagnetic
conditions remained mostly at Quiet levels on 6 February. Nearly
similar conditions are likely on 07 February. Geomagnetic activity may
increase up to Active levels on 08 and 09 February. MUFS were
generally near predicted monthly values on most locations with slight
enhancements recorded on low and mid latitude locations during the
last 24 hours (06 Feb). Minor enhancements in MUFs are expected to
continue on 07 February. Short wave fadeouts are possible in the
sunlit hemisphere 07-09 February. Minor to mild degradation in HF
conditions and depressions in MUFs may be possible on 08 and 09

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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