[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 10 March - issued 2335UT/09-Mar-2015

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Tue Mar 10 10:35:10 EST 2015


Active Region 2297 contains the only visible sunspot region on the
solar disk. However, it has been very active, producing ten C-class X
ray flares during Mar 9, as well as the largest flare of the day, a
short-lived M4.5 flare peaking at 14:33 UT. AR 2297 has a
Beta-Gamma-Delta configuration suggesting further strong C class or
even M class flare activity today, Mar 10. The solar wind speed is
declining and the 4-day outlook is for quiet geomagnetic conditions.
However, unsettled to active conditions are possible if the halo
Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) associated with the M9.2 solar flare on
Mar 7 glances Earth during Mar 10-11. HF radio propagation conditions
are expected to be normal to enhanced at mid-latitudes in the
Australian region during Mar 10. The conditions may be strongly
enhanced at low latitude locations.

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