[ips-sf] IPS Summary Forecast for 20 October - issued 0020UT/20-Oct-2014

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Mon Oct 20 11:20:47 EST 2014


Moderate with a chance of High solar flare activity from large active
Region 2192(> 1200 mils). This region was the most active on the
visible disk during the previous 24 hours, producing a long duration
X1 flare and several C-class flares . The present solar wind stream
~~430km/s, is expected to persist for the next 24 hours. Geomagnetic
activity mostly Quiet to Unsettled . MUFs are expected to continue at
or slightly above median MUFs due to to high levels of ionising EUV
flux. Short wave fadeouts possible with a reasonable chance of M and
isolated X flares from AR2192.

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