[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 05 July 09

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 05/2330Z JULY 2009 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 05 JULY AND FORECAST FOR 06 JULY - 08 JULY
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 05 Jul:  Low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 05 Jul:  72/8

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             06 Jul             07 Jul             08 Jul
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    72/8               72/8               72/8

COMMENT: Region 1024 (S27,W13) produced a C2.7/SF flare at 0713 
UT and numerous B class flares. Solar wind speed remained below 
380 km/s. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 05 Jul: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 05 Jul :  A   K           
   Australian Region       3   22100121
      Darwin               4   22100122
      Townsville           6   23211122
      Learmonth            6   23210122
      Camden               2   12000011
      Canberra             1   12000010
      Hobart               3   12101121
      Casey(Ant)           6   23211122
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 05 Jul : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jul : A 
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 04 Jul :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         2
           Planetary              3   2000 1111     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
06 Jul     5    Quiet 
07 Jul     5    Quiet 
08 Jul     5    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
05 Jul      Fair-normal    Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal
07 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal
08 Jul      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
05 Jul    -4

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values with depressions to 30%
      mostly between 00-11 UT.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed.

Predicted Monthly T index for July:   6

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
06 Jul    -5    Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed. 
07 Jul    -5    Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed. 
08 Jul     0    Near predicted monthly values.

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 04 Jul
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.1E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  2.0E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.40E+07   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 3%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.5

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 04 Jul
Speed: 349 km/sec  Density:    1.0 p/cc  Temp:    37800 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Weather Prediction Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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