[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 June 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JUNE 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 09 JUNE - 11 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jun:  65/0

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jun             10 Jun             11 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    66/0               68/2               70/5

COMMENT: The solar disk remains spotless. SOHO EIT and STEREO 
Behind however, show an active region rotating onto the east 
limb of the solar disk at about south 10. There is a slight chance 
of increased solar activity due to this region. The solar wind 
raised to 520 km/s then decreased to its present 450 km/s during
the UT day. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 08 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22212211
      Darwin               5   22112211
      Townsville           7   22222222
      Learmonth            7   2212322-
      Camden               4   22212110
      Canberra             4   22212110
      Hobart               4   21212210
      Casey(Ant)           9   33322221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             2   (Quiet)
      Camden              36   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Gnangara            13   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              19   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             12   2233 2333     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jun     6    Quiet 
10 Jun     4    Quiet 
11 Jun     4    Quiet 

COMMENT: There was some unsettled conditions due to slightly 
elevated solar wind speed. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
08 Jun     3

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 45% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 45% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   5

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 
10 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.3E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 2.10E+06   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 0%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Jun
Speed: 479 km/sec  Density:    1.8 p/cc  Temp:   124000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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