[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 06 June 08

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 06/2330Z JUNE 2008 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 06 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 07 JUNE - 09 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 06 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 06 Jun:  66/0

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             07 Jun             08 Jun             09 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    66/0               68/2               68/2

COMMENT: The solar wind speed increased from 350 to approximately 
460 km/s. The Bz component of the IMF fluctuated between +/-5 
nT. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 06 Jun: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 06 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   13222121
      Darwin               7   12232122
      Townsville           9   23232222
      Learmonth            8   13232131
      Camden               5   12221121
      Canberra             5   03222120
      Hobart               4   02122121
      Casey(Ant)           7   13222221
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 06 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Alice_Springs        0   (Quiet)
      Culgoora             0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Gnangara             2   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               2   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 06 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 05 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              2   1001 0111     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
07 Jun     4    Quiet 
08 Jun     4    Quiet 
09 Jun     4    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
06 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
07 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
06 Jun    0

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values,
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day,
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   5

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
07 Jun     5    near predicted monthly values 
08 Jun     5    near predicted monthly values 
09 Jun     5    Near predicted monthly values 

COMMENT: Night spread F may continue to form and degrade night 
communications. 
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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 05 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.0E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 3.10E+07   (normal fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 5%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 05 Jun
Speed: 391 km/sec  Density:    0.6 p/cc  Temp:    37400 K  Bz:   0 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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