[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 01 November 07

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 01/2330Z NOVEMBER 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 01 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 02 NOVEMBER - 04 NOVEMBER

STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: ** YELLOW **

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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 01 Nov:  Very low

Flares: None

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 01 Nov:  67/0

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             02 Nov             03 Nov             04 Nov
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    67/0               67/0               67/0

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 01 Nov: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 01 Nov :  A   K           
   Australian Region       5   22211212
      Darwin               5   22111212
      Townsville           6   22211222
      Learmonth            4   12210212
      Camden               4   12111211
      Canberra             3   12110211
      Hobart               4   12111211
      Casey(Ant)          10   34321212
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 01 Nov : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden               0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart               0   (Quiet)

Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 01 Nov : A 
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              5                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 31 Oct :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         3
           Planetary              4   1121 1010     

2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
02 Nov    11    Quiet to unsettled with a possible isolated active 
                period 
03 Nov     8    Mostly quiet to unsettled
04 Nov     5    Quiet 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
01 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal    

PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
03 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal   
04 Nov      Fair-normal    Fair-normal    Fair-normal   

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY

Date   T index
01 Nov   -22

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values to 25% depressed.
      Sporadic E observed at Christchurch 02 to 06 UT.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed.
      Sporadic E observed at Macquarie Is. 13 to 15 UT.

Predicted Monthly T index for November:  11

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
02 Nov   -10    Near predicted monthly values to 20% depressed. 
03 Nov   -15    Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed. 
04 Nov   -15    Near predicted monthly values to 30% depressed. 

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 26 was issued on 1 November 
and is current for interval 2-4 November. 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 31 Oct
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.6E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.8E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.90E+08   (moderate fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:15%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A1.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 31 Oct
Speed: 459 km/sec  Density:    1.7 p/cc  Temp:    59000 K  Bz:  -1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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