[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 08 June 07

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 08/2330Z JUNE 2007 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 08 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 09 JUNE - 11 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 08 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 08 Jun:  84/26


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             09 Jun             10 Jun             11 Jun
Activity     Low                Low                Low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    80/20              80/20              80/20

COMMENT: The Solar wind is around 380 km/s. The Bz component 
of the interplanetary magnetic field started the UT day southward, 
dipping down to -5nT, and then at around 04 UT it went northward, 
up to +8nT. At around 12 UT the Bz returned to a southward
orientation, again to around -5nT and is presently southward. 
Expect more c-class xray flares from AR960 today as the region 
degrades. 

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 08 Jun: Quiet 

Estimated Indices 08 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   22211222
      Darwin               6   22212222
      Townsville           7   22212223
      Learmonth           12   33322323
      Camden               6   22211222
      Canberra             5   22201222
      Hobart               3   11101212
      Casey(Ant)           7   22211223
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 08 Jun : 
      Darwin               0   (Quiet)
      Townsville           0   (Quiet)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Camden              19   (Quiet)
      Canberra             0   (Quiet)
      Hobart              11   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3-indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3-indices for that station and have been shown to be
well correlated with rejection of high resolution aeromagnetic
survey flight-line data. 

NOTE: Indices may have been generated from data obtained in 
cooperation with the following organisations: Geoscience Australia, 
University of Newcastle Space Physics Group, Australian Government 
Antarctic Division and Space Environment Research Center, Japan.


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 08 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         5
           Planetary              8                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 07 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg         1
           Planetary              3   1000 1121     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
09 Jun     6    Quiet 
10 Jun     4    Quiet 
11 Jun     4    Quiet 

COMMENT: Expect mostly quiet conditions for the next 3 days however, 
there may be periods of unsettled conditions due to periods of 
southward Bz orientation. The effect should be minimal however 
due to seasonal influence. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
08 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal         
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
09 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
10 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
11 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
08 Jun    12

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Minor depressions noted during local night. 
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Minor depressions noted during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly valeus.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:   9

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
09 Jun    10    near predicted monthly values 
10 Jun    10    Near predicted monthly values 
11 Jun    10    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 07 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.7E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.9E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 1.10E+08   (moderate fluence)   
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability:11%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A7.0

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 07 Jun
Speed: 337 km/sec  Density:    3.1 p/cc  Temp:    33900 K  Bz:   1 nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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