[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 02 June 06

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sat Jun 3 09:55:29 EST 2006


SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 02/2330Z JUNE 2006 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 02 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 03 JUNE - 05 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:GREEN   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 02 Jun:  Very low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 02 Jun:  75/13


1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             03 Jun             04 Jun             05 Jun
Activity     Very low           Very low           Very low
Fadeouts     None expected      None expected      None expected
10.7cm/SSN    75/13              75/13              75/13





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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 02 Jun: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 02 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       6   23221211
      Darwin               8   33221221
      Learmonth            7   23320211
      Culgoora             5   23210211
      Camden               7   12212223
      Canberra             6   23220221
      Hobart               3   22210110
      Casey(Ant)          11   33332311
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 02 Jun : 
      Canberra            25   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Learmonth            2   (Quiet)
      Culgoora            28   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Hobart              37   (Quiet to unsettled)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station. 


Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 02 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg         8
           Planetary             15                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 01 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        10
           Planetary             13   2224 2243     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
03 Jun    13    Unsettled to Active 
04 Jun    11    Unsettled 
05 Jun     6    Quiet 
COMMENT: Generally quiet to unsettled conditions expected. 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
02 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
03 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
04 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
05 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal
COMMENT: Mostly normal HF conditions. Mildly degraded HF conditions 
possible at high latitudes. 
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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


Date   T index
02 Jun    31

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG/Niue Region:
     Mostly near predicted monthly values,
     Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
  Northern Australian Region:
     Near predicted monthly values.
  Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
     Near predicted monthly values during local day,
     Enhanced by 45% during local night.
  Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
     Enhanced by 25% over the UT day.

Predicted Monthly T index for June:  15

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
03 Jun    30    Near predicted monthly values 
04 Jun    20    Near predicted monthly values 
05 Jun    20    Near predicted monthly values 

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5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

GOES satellite data for 01 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.3E+05
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 8.50E+05 (normal fluence)  
Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 0%
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
       X-ray background: A2.1

ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 01 Jun
Speed: NA km/sec  Density:  NA p/cc  Temp:  NA K  Bz:  NA nT

(Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
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IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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