[Ips-dsgr] IPS Daily Report - 19 June 01

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SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
ISSUED AT 19/2330Z JUNE 2001 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
SUMMARY FOR 19 JUNE AND FORECAST FOR 20 JUNE - 22 JUNE
STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** YELLOW **   MAG:GREEN     ION: GREEN
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1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity 19 Jun:  Low

Flares: none.

Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 19 Jun: 195/147

GOES satellite data for 18 Jun
       Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   1.9E+06
       Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  3.7E+04
       Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.50E+04 (normal)
       X-ray background: B8.1
Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.

1B. SOLAR FORECAST
             20 Jun             21 Jun             22 Jun
Activity     Low to moderate    Low to moderate    Low to moderate
Fadeouts     Possible           Possible           Possible
10.7cm/SSN   190/143            190/143            190/143

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2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 19 Jun: Quiet to Unsettled 

Estimated Indices 19 Jun :  A   K           
   Australian Region       8   3211 1333
      Darwin               8   3111 1333
      Townsville          12   -321 234-
      Learmonth           11   3223 2334
      Canberra             7   3201 1233
      Hobart               6   3101 1232
    
Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 19 JUN : 
      Darwin               4   (Quiet)
      Townsville          24   (Quiet to unsettled)
      Learmonth            0   (Quiet)
      Canberra             4   (Quiet)
      Hobart              10   (Quiet)
Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations 
of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum 
of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 19 Jun : A 
           Fredericksburg        15
           Planetary             18                         

Observed AFr/Ap Indices 18 Jun :  A   K
           Fredericksburg        25
           Planetary             34   2556 5344     


2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST 
Date      Ap    Conditions
20 Jun     9    Quiet to Unsettled 
21 Jun     9    Quiet to unsettled 
22 Jun     8    Quiet to unsettled 

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3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
19 Jun      Normal         Normal         Fair           
PCA Event : No event.

3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
	            Latitude Band
Date        Low            Middle         High 
20 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
21 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair
22 Jun      Normal         Normal         Normal-Fair

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4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
Date   T index
19 Jun   153

Observed Australian Regional MUFs
   Equatorial PNG Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day,
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.


Predicted Monthly T index for June: 118

4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
Date   T index  MUFs
20 Jun   125    Near predicted monthly values 
21 Jun   130    Near predicted monthly values 
22 Jun   130    Near predicted monthly values 


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