[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 05 February 24 issued 2330 UT on 05 Feb 2024 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 FEBRUARY 2024
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Feb   148    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.1 04/2228UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M2.7 04/2237UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/
                                    North American
  M2.1    0428UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.4    0622UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 55% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      144
Feb      108
Mar      108


2. FORECAST (06 FEBRUARY - 08 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Feb   145    Normal           Near predicted values to 20% 
                                 enhanced
07 Feb   145    Normal           Near predicted values to 20% 
                                 enhanced    
08 Feb   140    Normal           Near predicted monthly values 
                                 to 20% enhanced   

COMMENT: ASWFC SWF HF Communications Warning 14 was issued on 
5 February and is current for 5-7 Feb. Maximum usable frequencies 
(MUFs) on UT day 05-Feb were near predicted monthly values to 
25% enhanced in the Australian region. Sporadic-E was observed 
during local night and dawn hours in Hobart. MUFs are expected 
to be near predicted monthly values to 20% enhanced over 06-08 
Feb. Shortwave fadeouts are likely.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au