[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 28 December 23 issued 2330 UT on 28 Dec 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Dec 29 10:30:59 EST 2023


SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/28 DECEMBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (28 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
28 Dec   140    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
      Enhanced by 20% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Nov      114
Dec      100
Jan      98


2. FORECAST (29 DECEMBER - 31 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
29 Dec   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
30 Dec   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
31 Dec   135    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 28-Dec in 
the Australian region were near predicted monthly values, with 
enhancements of up to 15% observed in the southern Australian 
region and enhancements of up to 25% observed in the northern 
Australian region, both during local night. Sporadic E was observed 
at Perth during local day and at Learmonth during local night. 
MUFs are expected to be near predicted monthly values to 15% 
enhanced on 29-31 Dec. Sporadic E is likely in the western Australian 
region. Isolated shortwave fadeouts are possible.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au



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