[Ips-dhfpr] ASWFC Daily HF Prop Report - 27 December 23 issued 2330 UT on 27 Dec 2023 [SEC=OFFICIAL]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: ASWFC DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/27 DECEMBER 2023
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE WEATHER FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (27 DECEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
27 Dec   133    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Nov      114
Dec      100
Jan      98


2. FORECAST (28 DECEMBER - 30 DECEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
28 Dec   125    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
29 Dec   125    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
30 Dec   125    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Maximum usable frequencies (MUFs) on UT day 27-Dec in 
the Australian region were near predicted monthly values, with 
enhancements of up to 15% observed in the southern Australian 
region during local night. Sporadic E obscured the foF2 at Perth 
at times during local night. MUFs are expected to be near predicted 
monthly values to 15% enhanced on 28-Dec, with less enhancements 
to mild depressions possible in the southern Australian region 
if geomagnetic activity eventuates. MUFs are expected to be near 
predicted monthly values to 15% enhanced over 29-30 Dec. Isolated 
shortwave fadeouts are possible.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
https://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Australian Space Weather Forecasting Centre
Bureau of Meteorology
ASWFC at bom.gov.au
www.bom.gov.au | www.sws.bom.gov.au