[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 15 July 17 issued 2331 UT on 15 Jul 2017 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Jul 16 09:31:25 EST 2017


SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/15 JULY 2017 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (15 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
15 Jul    13    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0855UT 14/07, Ended at 1135UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1235UT 14/07, Ended at 1340UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1425UT 14/07, Ended at 1510UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1705UT 14/07, Ended at 1730UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1800UT 14/07, Ended at 1840UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1940UT 14/07, Ended at 1105UT 15/07

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      9
Jul      8
Aug      7


2. FORECAST (16 JULY - 18 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
16 Jul    10    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
17 Jul     0    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
18 Jul     0    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 30%   

COMMENT: Australian observed MUFs were mostly near predicted 
monthly values over the last 24 hours. Noted Spread F in the 
Australian region and isolated pockets of Sporadic E during the 
UT day. Depressed MUF's possible for Southern AUS/NZ regions 
and disturbed ionospheric support Antarctic regions 17Jul-18Jul 
due to anticipated increased geomagnetic activity.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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