[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 July 17 issued 2346 UT on 14 Jul 2017 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 JULY 2017 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 JULY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Jul    12    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.3    0219UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values.
      Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0855UT 14/07, Ended at 1135UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1235UT 14/07, Ended at 1340UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1425UT 14/07, Ended at 1510UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1705UT 14/07, Ended at 1730UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 1800UT 14/07, Ended at 1840UT 14/07
 and, 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 15 07 2017 0540UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jun      9
Jul      8
Aug      7


2. FORECAST (15 JULY - 17 JULY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Jul     5    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%
16 Jul     0    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%    
17 Jul     0    Fair-normal      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%   

COMMENT: Australian observed MUFs were mostly near predicted 
monthly values over the last 24 hours. Noted spread F and sporadic 
E blacketing during the UT day in the Australian region. Possible 
degraded HF communication and short wave fadeout over the next 
few days.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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