[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 14 October 16 issued 2349 UT on 14 Oct 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/14 OCTOBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (14 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
14 Oct   -35    Poor           

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 55% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Enhanced by 30% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 50% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
      Depressed by 45% after local dawn.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 35% during local day.
      Depressed by 45% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      30
Oct      30
Nov      30


2. FORECAST (15 OCTOBER - 17 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
15 Oct   -15    Poor             20 to 30% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
16 Oct    10    Poor-fair        Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 20 to 30%    
17 Oct    10    Fair-poor        Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 10 to 20%   

COMMENT: Strong degradations in HF conditions observed during 
the UT day 14 Oct. Sporadic E noted throughout the Australian 
region. Brisbane, Sydney and Canberra showed blanketing, particularly 
in the local night early morning hours. Noted strong spread F 
conditions at Hobart. Same conditions may persist for the next 
24 hours with a slight recovery.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
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