[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 12 November 16 issued 2352 UT on 12 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/12 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (12 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
12 Nov     1    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (13 NOVEMBER - 15 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
13 Nov   -10    Normal-fair      15 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                 values
14 Nov     0    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
15 Nov     5    Normal           Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: SWS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 54 was issued 
on 11 November and is current for 11-13 Nov. Variable ionospheric 
support ranging from near monthly predicted values to MUF depressions 
of 15%-30% observed for all regions over the last 24 hours. Similar 
conditions are expected for the next 2 days with MUF depressions 
of ~20% for Northern AUS and Southern AUS/NZ regions, possible 
periods of enhanced MUFs for low to mid latitude stations and 
disturbed ionospheric support for Antarctic regions. Mostly normal 
conditions expected for 15Nov.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
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