[Ips-dhfpr] SWS Daily HF Prop Report - 11 November 16 issued 2352 UT on 11 Nov 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/11 NOVEMBER 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (11 NOVEMBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
11 Nov     7    Normal-fair    

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Depressed by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Oct      10
Nov      26
Dec      25


2. FORECAST (12 NOVEMBER - 14 NOVEMBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
12 Nov     0    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
13 Nov     5    Normal-fair      Depressed 15%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
14 Nov    15    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: SWS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 54 was issued 
on 11 November and is current for 11-13 Nov. Variable MUFs observed 
for all regions over the last 24 hours with daytime depressions 
for Equatorial, Northern AUS, Southern AUS/NZ regions and periods 
of enhancements for Equatorial stations. MUFs either near predicted 
monthly values overnight or mildly depressed for Southern AUS/NZ 
stations. Similar conditions are expected for the next 2 days 
with MUF depressions of ~20% for Northern AUS and Southern AUS/NZ 
regions, possible periods of enhanced MUFs for low latitude stations 
and disturbed ionospheric support for Antarctic regions. Mostly 
normal conditions expected for 14Nov.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at bom.gov.au
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