[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 06 March 16 issued 2330 UT on 06 Mar 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/06 MARCH 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (06 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
06 Mar    73    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      64
Mar      50
Apr      51


2. FORECAST (07 MARCH - 09 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
07 Mar    35    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values
08 Mar    40    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
09 Mar    50    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: The observed MUFs for the Australian region on UT day 
6 March were higher than the predicted monthly MUF values. Minor 
degradation of MUFs are expected on UT day 06 March, though these 
are expected to be slightly below the monthly median. The possible 
degradations on UT day 07 March is forecasted in response to 
the current minor storm conditions associated with the equatorial 
coronal hole. Drop in ionospheric densities are usually delayed 
by up to 24 hrs after the onset of storm. HF users are advised 
to use slightly lower frequencies compared to our monthly predicted 
MUF values.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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