[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 05 March 16 issued 2330 UT on 05 Mar 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/05 MARCH 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (05 MARCH) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
05 Mar    80    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 30% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 30% during local day.
      Enhanced by 50% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 20% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Feb      64
Mar      50
Apr      51


2. FORECAST (06 MARCH - 08 MARCH)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
06 Mar    80    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
07 Mar    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values    
08 Mar    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: The observed MUFs for the Australian region on UT day 
5 March were higher than the predicted monthly MUF values. Near 
or above monthly predicted MUFs are expected for the next three 
days. Minor degradation of MUFs are expected on UT day 07 March, 
though these are expected to be near the monthly median. The 
possible degradations on UT day 07 March is forecasted in response 
to the active geomagnetic conditions on 6 March associated with 
the equatorial coronal hole and the possible arrival of the 3 
March CME effects at earth. Drop in ionospheric densities are 
usually delayed by up to 24 hrs after the onset of storms.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.