[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 02 January 16 issued 2337 UT on 02 Jan 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[rwc]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/02 JANUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (02 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
02 Jan    44    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.3    0017UT  possible   lower  West Pacific

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0415UT 02/01, Ended at 0745UT 02/01

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      55
Jan      63
Feb      63


2. FORECAST (03 JANUARY - 05 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
03 Jan    45    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 20%
04 Jan    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%    
05 Jan    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: MUF stayed mostly close to the monthly predicted values 
in the Aus/NZ regions on 2 January. Nearly similar HF conditions 
may be observed for the next three days if the geomagnetic activity 
remains at lower levels. There is some possibility of rise in 
geomagnetic activity on 3 and and 4 January. If this rise in 
geomagnetic activity eventuates, minor to moderate depressions 
in MUFs and degradations in HF conditions may be possible on 
these days in the region.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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