[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 January 16 issued 2330 UT on 03 Jan 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 JANUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 JANUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Jan    60    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Niue Island Region:
      No data available during local day.
      No data available during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began at 0415UT 02/01, Ended at 0745UT 02/01

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Dec      55
Jan      61
Feb      61


2. FORECAST (04 JANUARY - 06 JANUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
04 Jan    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%
05 Jan    60    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
06 Jan    50    Normal-fair      Near predicted monthly values/depressed 
                                 5 to 15%   

COMMENT: IPS Preliminary HF Communications Warning 1 was issued 
on 3 January and is current for 3-4 Jan. MUFs stayed mostly close 
to the monthly predicted values in the Aus/NZ regions on 3 January. 
Nearly similar HF conditions may be observed in the region for 
the next three days if the geomagnetic activity remains at lower 
levels. There is some possibility of rise in geomagnetic activity 
on 4 and 6 January. If this rise in geomagnetic activity eventuates, 
minor to moderate depressions in MUFs and degradations in HF 
conditions may be possible on these days (4 and 6 January) in 
the region. Mostly normal HF conditions may be expected on 5 
January.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.sws.bom.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

IMPORTANT: This e-mail, including any attachments, may contain,
confidential or copyright information.  The views expressed in 
this message are those of the individual sender, unless 
specifically stated to be the views of IPS.  If you are not 
the intended recipient, please contact the sender immediately 
and delete all copies of this e-mail and attachments. 
To unsubscribe from an IPS mail list either send an email to 
"MAIL_LIST"-leave at ips.gov.au or go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/"MAIL_LIST".
Information about training can be obtained from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-training.
General information is available from
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au/mailman/listinfo/ips-info.