[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 11 February 16 issued 2330 UT on 11 Feb 2016 [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
Regional Warning Centre
rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Feb 12 10:30:43 EST 2016
SUBJ: SWS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/11 FEBRUARY 2016 BY Space Weather Services
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST
1. SUMMARY (11 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions
11 Feb 76 Normal
Flares: none.
MUFs:
Cocos Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Niue Island Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Near predicted monthly values during local night.
Northern Australian Region:
Enhanced by 15% during local day.
Enhanced by 25% during local night.
Southern Australian Region:
Near predicted monthly values during local day.
Enhanced by 15% during local night.
Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.
PCA Event : No event.
Monthly T index:
Month T index
Jan 60
Feb 50
Mar 51
2. FORECAST (12 FEBRUARY - 14 FEBRUARY)
Date T index Conditions MUFs
12 Feb 65 Normal Near predicted monthly values
13 Feb 50 Normal Near predicted monthly values
14 Feb 60 Normal Near predicted monthly values
COMMENT: Observed MUF's for the UT day 11 Feb were slightly above
the monthly predicted values. The outlook (12 Feb) is for MUFs
to remain near the monthly predicted levels. The solar ionising
radiations (10.7 cm solar flux) has been steady near 120 s.f.u
for the last 7 days. This is expected to maintain normal HF conditions.
However, MUFs could degrade on UT day 13 Feb if there was active
geomagnetic conditions associated with the coronal hole effects.
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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.sws.bom.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.
Space Weather Services email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240 AUSTRALIA FTP: ftp://ftp-out.sws.bom.gov.au
tel: +61 2 9213 8010 fax: +61 2 9213 8060
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