[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 03 October 15 issued 2330 UT on 03 Oct 2015

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Sun Oct 4 10:30:42 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/03 OCTOBER 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (03 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
03 Oct    51    Mildly Depressed         

Flares: C class flares

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      35
Oct      70
Nov      68


2. FORECAST (04 OCTOBER - 06 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions             MUFs                              
04 Oct    45    Moderately Depressed   0 to 25% below predicted monthly 
                                       values
05 Oct    50    Mildly Depressed       0 to 20% below predicted monthly 
                                       values    
06 Oct    55    Mildly Depressed       0 to 15% below predicted monthly 
                                       values   

COMMENT: Conditions for HF radio propagation were mildly depressed 
throughout the Australian region during 03 Oct UT. T indices 
were mostly in the range 50 to 65 for individual stations. However, 
the T index was only 34 for Darwin. A minor geomagnetic storm 
may occur during 04-05 Oct. This may lead to deeper depressions 
during 04-06 Oct.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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