[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 11 August 15 issued 2330 UT on 11 Aug 2015

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Wed Aug 12 09:30:33 EST 2015


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/11 AUGUST 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (11 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
11 Aug    50    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Depressed by 25% during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 35% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 20% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Near predicted monthly values during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      60
Aug      80
Sep      78


2. FORECAST (12 AUGUST - 14 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
12 Aug    50    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
13 Aug    50    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
14 Aug    50    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 32 was issued on 10 August 
and is current for 10-12 Aug. MUFs have ranged between predicted 
monthly values and mild depressions. Expect this trend to prevail 
over the next three days due to low EUV resulting from low sunspot 
numbers for this period in the solar cycle.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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