[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 10 August 15 issued 2330 UT on 10 Aug 2015

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/10 AUGUST 2015 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (10 AUGUST) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
10 Aug    56    Normal         

Flares: none.

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 40% during local night.
      Depressed by 35% after local dawn.
   Niue Island Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 30% during local night.
      Depressed by 25% after local dawn.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Depressed by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian Region:
      Depressed by 15% during local day.
      Depressed by 15% during local night.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jul      60
Aug      80
Sep      78


2. FORECAST (11 AUGUST - 13 AUGUST)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
11 Aug    55    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values
12 Aug    55    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values    
13 Aug    55    Normal           Depressed 10-30%/near predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 31 was issued on 10 
August and is current for 10-11 Aug. IPS HF Communications Warning 
32 was issued on 10 August and is current for 10-12 Aug. MUFs 
have ranged between predicted monthly values and mild depressions. 
Expect this trend to prevail over the next three days due to 
low EUV resulting from low sunspot numbers for this period in 
the solar cycle.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

Space Weather Services              email: asfc at ips.gov.au
Bureau of Meteorology
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Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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