[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 27 October 14 issued 2348 UT on 27 Oct 2014

[rwc]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/27 OCTOBER 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (27 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
27 Oct   122    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M6.9    0026UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  M1.0    0204UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.3    0341UT  possible   lower  E. Asia/Aust.
  M1.0    0911UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M2.2    0941UT  possible   lower  Mid East/Indian
  M6.7    1011UT  probable   lower  European
  X2.1    1447UT  probable   all    South American/
                                    Atlantic
  M1.4    1742UT  possible   lower  South American/
                                    Atlantic

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 15% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 15% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      90
Oct      86
Nov      83


2. FORECAST (28 OCTOBER - 30 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
28 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
29 Oct   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
30 Oct   100    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: Enhanced ionospheric support observed for all AUS/NZ 
regions during local day, continuing into local night for low 
latitude stations. Similar conditions are expected for the next 
24 hours. MUFs expected to return to near predicted monthly values 
on 30th October as the current large active region 2192 rotates 
off the visible disk. Possible sudden ionospheric disturbances 
(SWFs) over the forecast period.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
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