[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 24 February 14 issued 2330 UT on 24 Feb 2014

[Regional Warning Centre]

SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/24 FEBRUARY 2014 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (24 FEBRUARY) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
24 Feb   110    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
 M1/--    1205UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
  Northern Australian Region:
      Enhanced by 20% during local day.
      Enhanced by 25% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Near predicted monthly values over the UT day.

PCA Event : 10MeV Proton/PCA Event Began 21 02 2014 0015UT and is in progress

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Jan      119
Feb      75
Mar      75


2. FORECAST (25 FEBRUARY - 27 FEBRUARY)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
25 Feb   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
26 Feb   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
27 Feb   110    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: Observed MUF's for Southern AUS/NZ were near monthly 
median values and northern near-equatorial regions were enhanced, 
possibly due to slightly enhanced geomagnetic activity. Ionising 
EUV/X-ray somewhat enhanced by numerous (8) active regions on 
the disc, so expect moderately enhanced MUFs. Geomagnetic activity 
expected to be Quiet for 25-27th Feb so ionosphere not expected 
to be too variable. Large region AR19867 is returning to the 
east limb so moderate activity with M class flares is expected 
and possible short wave fadeouts if it is as large as last rotation.

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For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

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