[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 24 October 13 issued 2341 UT on 24 Oct 2013

rwc rwc at ips.gov.au
Fri Oct 25 10:41:54 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/24 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (24 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
24 Oct    87    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M1.4 23/2344UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M3.1    0008UT  possible   lower  West Pacific
  M9.3    0030UT  probable   lower  West Pacific
  M2.5    1010UT  possible   lower  European
  M3.5    1033UT  possible   lower  European

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data available.
   Niue Island Region:
      Enhanced by 35% during local day.
      Enhanced by 40% during local night.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values during local day.
      Enhanced by 20% during local night.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Near predicted monthly values.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Enhanced by 15% over the UT day.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70


2. FORECAST (25 OCTOBER - 27 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
25 Oct    80    Normal           Near predicted monthly values
26 Oct    80    Normal           Near predicted monthly values    
27 Oct    80    Normal           Near predicted monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 29 was issued on 22 
October and is current for 23-25 Oct. HF conditions are still 
slightly enhanced due to high levels of ionising EUV flux from 
multiple sunspot regions. Expected geomagnetic activity over 
the next two days may reduce the maximum useable frequency from 
the currently enhanced levels, however at this stage conditions 
are not expected to drop significantly below the forecast monthly 
values. Possible SWFs over the forecast period.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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