[Ips-dhfpr] IPS Daily HF Prop Report - 23 October 13 issued 2330 UT on 23 Oct 2013

Regional Warning Centre rwc at ips.gov.au
Thu Oct 24 10:30:26 EST 2013


SUBJ: IPS DAILY HF PROPAGATION REPORT
ISSUED AT 2330UT/23 OCTOBER 2013 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
AUSTRALIAN REGION SUMMARY AND FORECAST

1. SUMMARY (23 OCTOBER) 
Date   T index  Conditions    
23 Oct   107    Normal         

Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
  M2.7    2053UT  possible   lower  East Pacific/North American

MUFs:
   Cocos Island Region:
      No data.
   Niue Island Region:
      Near predicted monthly values. Enhancements of
      25-30% 11, 14-16, 22-23 UT.
   Northern Australian Region:
      Near predicted monthly values, enhanced 15-25%
      05-06, 10-12, 23 UT and 35-50% 14-15 UT at Darwin.
      Enhanced about 15% 00-05 UT at Townsville,
      thereafter, no data.
   Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 25% enhanced.
   Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base/Davis/Mawson):
      Mostly near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced.

PCA Event : No event.

Monthly T index:
Month  T index
Sep      68
Oct      72
Nov      70

2. FORECAST (24 OCTOBER - 26 OCTOBER)
Date   T index  Conditions       MUFs                              
24 Oct   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values
25 Oct   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values    
26 Oct   100    Normal           Near to 15% above predicted 
                                 monthly values   

COMMENT: IPS SWF HF Communications Warning 29 was issued on 22 
October and is current for 23-25 Oct. HF conditions are currently 
enhanced due to high levels of ionising EUV flux from multiple 
sunspot regions. Similar ionospheric conditions are expected 
for the next 3 days with a chance of SWFs.

----------------------------------------------------------
For an explanation of some of the terms in this report, go to
http://www.ips.gov.au, and follow links to Educational->
Glossary on Solar Terrestrial Terms.

IPS Radio and Space Services        email: asfc at ips.gov.au
PO Box 1386                         WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
Haymarket NSW 1240  AUSTRALIA       FTP: ftp://ftp.ips.gov.au 
tel: +61 2 9213 8010                fax: +61 2 9213 8060 

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